Mortgage rates falling despite inflation surprise

Posted on Wednesday, April 26, 2023

Inflation defied expectations to remain in double figures last week prompting economists to U-turn and predict another interest rate increase next month, from 4.25% to 4.5%.

But while the hike in inflation is concerning for mortgage holders or those looking to take out a home loan, the impact on the market has so far been minimal, with average rates actually dropping over the past week.

The average two-year fixed is currently 5.24%, according to Moneyfacts – down slightly from 5.27% a week ago.

For five-year fixed Moneyfacts says it is 4.96% – another slight drop from 4.98%.

Matt Smith, of Rightmove, which also provides regular mortgage market updates, said: “Despite the challenges posed by the unexpected news that inflation remains stubbornly high, which is impacting the underlying funding costs of fixed-rate mortgages, the resilience of lenders and desire to compete for business has seen average rates for mortgage products continue to fall this week across most Loan-to-Value (LTV) ranges, albeit at a much slower rate.

“Competition between lenders remains strongest in the traditional first-time-buyer loan-to-value ranges. The biggest fall is in the 90% LTV two-year fixed rate product range, which has dropped by 0.4% this week.

“However, there are signs that lenders are facing increasing pricing pressures, as we have seen an increase in 95% LTV 5-year fixed rates. This is in part due to the relatively small number of lenders active in this space, which means that the average can be influenced by one or two lenders increasing rates.

“Looking forward, it is likely that we will see lenders continue to try to hold the line on rates as competition remains the focus while they await the next base rate decision on 11 May. Despite this, we could see some rate increases in the meantime.

Rightmove tracks the top table 85% and 60% LTV for a five-year fixed-rate mortgage so you can quickly see the trend at a glance.

Further LTVs for two- and five-year fixed rates are in the tables that follow. All rates are based on products with a circa £999 fee.

LTV

 

(loan to value)

 

 

Term

 

Average rate

 

18th April 2023

Average rate

 

25th April 2023

Weekly Change Average rate

 

a year ago

 

 

85%

 

5 year fixed 4.46% 4.45% -0.01% 2.73%
 

 

60%

 

5 year fixed 4.13% 4.12% -0.01% 2.47%

 

 

LTV (loan to value)  

 

Term

 

Average rate

 

18th April 2023

Average rate

 

25th April 2023

Weekly Change Average rate

 

a year ago

 

 

95%

 

2 year fixed 5.48% 5.48% 0.00% 3.15%
 

 

95%

 

5 year fixed 5.04% 5.10% +0.06% 3.44%
 

 

90%

 

2 year fixed 5.08% 5.04% -0.04% 2.71%
 

 

90%

 

5 year fixed 4.69% 4.67% -0.02% 2.91%

 

 

 

LTV (loan to value)

 

 

Term

Average rate

 

18th April 2023

Average rate

 

25th April 2023

Weekly Change Average rate

 

a year ago

 

 

85%

 

 

 

2 year fixed

 

 

4.83%

 

 

4.81%

-0.02%  

 

2.59%

 

 

85%

 

 

 

5 year fixed

 

 

 

4.46%

 

 

4.45%

-0.01%  

 

2.73%

 

 

75%

 

 

 

2 year fixed

 

 

4.56%

 

 

4.54%

-0.02%  

 

2.45%

 

 

75%

 

 

 

5 year fixed

 

 

 

4.25%

 

 

4.23%

-0.02%  

 

2.52%

 

 

60%

 

 

 

2 year fixed

 

 

 

4.46%

 

 

4.45%

-0.01%  

 

2.42%

 

 

60%

 

 

 

5 year fixed

 

 

4.13%

 

 

4.12%

-0.01%  

 

2.47%

The Rightmove data is provided by specialist mortgage technology provider Podium Solutions 

Via @PropertyIndustryEye